Can it be that I have not posted since February?

The days have passed quickly ... though I am sure for my loyal readers it has seemed a near eternity.

To be left adrift in the sea of vapid words spewed by the thousands of second-rate commentators infesting the political scene ... it must have been a painful experience for you, my dear reader.

Two observations:

Observation #1:  The Supreme Court

Regarding my most recent Astonishingly Accurate Prediction ... Washington rumors point ever more strongly to the impending resignation of Justice Stevens from the Supreme Court at the end of the current term (next month). 

For instance, a ConfimThem.com commenter who calls himself "Insider," and who has provided helpful information in the past, indicates that his sources consider it all but a done deal. 

Interestingly enough, he notes that Justice Souter is also looking to retire soon ... and probably would himself retire at the end of this term were not Stevens retiring. 

All this of course is rapturous news for conservatives if true.

It also (though this is by no means my motive in alluding to it) attests to the accuracy of what your humble correspondent promised you over two months ago in Astonishingly Accurate Prediction #6.

Observation #2:  The November Elections

Anxious political pros are no doubt refreshing this page several times a day waiting for the Squid take on the November congressional elections.

I am not in a position to make a solid prediction at this point because of the volatility of the illegal immigration issue. 

The conventional wisdom, of course, is that Republicans will be smitten with disaster this fall ... with the possibility that the Democrats will gain control of the House and/or Senate. 

I am by no means certain this is correct. In fact a Republican gain in the Senate is not improbable.

But the wild card is the illegal immigration issue. Washington politicians are just now waking up to the depth of feeling on this issue, particularly in the Republican base. 

If Republicans ignore the base ... and continue down the road toward the Bush/McCain/Kennedy "guest worker" abomination, which essentially constitutes amnesty for illegals while giving an empty nod toward border security ... they may indeed have a date with disaster this November.

Friends, it is difficult to overstate how passionately many conservatives feel on this issue.  If you doubt this, I suggest you spend time on conservative forums on the Web or tune in to conservative talk radio ... especially local shows where the conversation is less filtered.

For many grass roots conservatives this is not just an "issue" to be debated ... but a threat to the future of America as we know it.

Seeing the illegals take to the streets in third-world style demonstrations ... brandishing flags of Mexico and other Latino nations ... only strengthens the perception that the American culture is in jeopardy from the invasion of millions of lawbreakers who have no real desire to assimilate.

This is not to mention the threat to national security of having unsecured borders in a time of war.

Being labeled bigots or xenophobes only increases the anger of grass roots conservatives ... who are used to such epithets being spewed by Democrats ... but not used to being labeled such by the out-of-touch elites in their own party.

I assure you, my friends, this tide of anger is well capable of toppling the Republican majority if it continues to be ignored inside the Beltway.

Fortunately, the past few weeks have seen a measure of awakening among Washington Republicans ... but this remains a volatile situation.